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{
  "events": {
    "event": {
      "event_number": 1,
      "name": "conflict_start",
      "description": "Tensions escalate between Iran and Israel",
      "probability": 70,
      "duration_days": 30,
      "subevents": {
        "event": {
          "event_number": 2,
          "name": "diplomatic_failure",
          "description": "Diplomatic negotiations fail",
          "probability": 60,
          "duration_days": 15,
          "subevents": {
            "event": {
              "event_number": 3,
              "name": "military_clash",
              "description": "Initial military clash at the border",
              "probability": 50,
              "duration_days": 10,
              "subevents": {
                "event": [
                  {
                    "event_number": 4,
                    "name": "escalation",
                    "description": "Conflict escalates into full-scale war",
                    "probability": 40,
                    "duration_days": 180,
                    "subevents": {
                      "event": [
                        {
                          "event_number": 5,
                          "name": "regional_involvement",
                          "description": "Other Middle Eastern countries get involved",
                          "probability": 30,
                          "duration_days": 365,
                          "subevents": {
                            "event": [
                              {
                                "event_number": 6,
                                "name": "ceasefire",
                                "description": "International powers broker a ceasefire",
                                "probability": 20,
                                "duration_days": 30
                              },
                              {
                                "event_number": 7,
                                "name": "prolonged_conflict",
                                "description": "Conflict continues for over a year",
                                "probability": 50,
                                "duration_days": 365
                              }
                            ]
                          }
                        },
                        {
                          "event_number": 8,
                          "name": "international_intervention",
                          "description": "UN or other international organizations intervene",
                          "probability": 25,
                          "duration_days": 60
                        }
                      ]
                    }
                  },
                  {
                    "event_number": 9,
                    "name": "containment",
                    "description": "Conflict is contained and doesn't escalate",
                    "probability": 30,
                    "duration_days": 90
                  }
                ]
              }
            },
            "event": {
              "event_number": 10,
              "name": "sanctions",
              "description": "Increased sanctions on Iran",
              "probability": 70,
              "duration_days": 180,
              "subevents": {
                "event": [
                  {
                    "event_number": 11,
                    "name": "iran_retaliates",
                    "description": "Iran retaliates with cyberattacks",
                    "probability": 40,
                    "duration_days": 60
                  },
                  {
                    "event_number": 12,
                    "name": "israel_response",
                    "description": "Israel responds with targeted airstrikes",
                    "probability": 50,
                    "duration_days": 60
                  }
                ]
              }
            }
          }
        },
        "event": {
          "event_number": 13,
          "name": "diplomatic_success",
          "description": "Successful diplomatic negotiations",
          "probability": 40,
          "duration_days": 30,
          "subevents": {
            "event": [
              {
                "event_number": 14,
                "name": "peace_agreement",
                "description": "Iran and Israel sign a peace agreement",
                "probability": 20,
                "duration_days": 60
              },
              {
                "event_number": 15,
                "name": "temporary_truce",
                "description": "A temporary truce is established",
                "probability": 30,
                "duration_days": 30
              }
            ]
          }
        }
      }
    }
  }
}